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The pitches themselves didn’t change outside of that. Happ finalized an $8 million, one-year contract on Friday. I need you to take a seat and put down any hot drink you may be holding. I’m interested to see if his fastball continues missing bats, but if it doesn’t we know that he’ll probably be fine anyways. Nick’s reluctant Jose Berrios 2020 projection: 3.65 ERA, 1.19 WHIP, 24% K rate in 195 IP. In 2019, though, this ceased to be true. He’s done it before. Pitching classification is a pain in the neck, but it seems like, in looking at his scatter charts, that he’s just throwing his cutter and slider harder than before, and it’s lumping them together now. Although he had a slider and cutter as recently as last year, Odorizzi dropped a tick off his cutter and added both horizontal and vertical movement (or perhaps more likely added velocity to his slider). Turned loose by the Twins last year during the pandemic-shortened season, Maeda made 11 starts and posted a 2.70 ERA with a .168 opponent batting average, both by far career bests. Players will be broken up by team and role through starting pitchers, bullpen, lineup, and prospects. MN Twins. It’s hard not to get a bit excited about watching Maeda finally stretch his arms in Minnesota, though there is still a slight chance that the Twins slow him down by the end given that his contract still contains the inning incentives. By CSW, Berrios ranks in the 46th percentile with a 24.1% CSW. Realistic worst-case projection: 4.80 ERA, 1.35 WHIP, 21% K rate in 70 IP, Realistic best-case projection: 4.00 ERA, 1.15 WHIP, 25% K rate in 100 IP. Starters have a combined Opening Day record of 14 wins , 25 losses and 12 no decisions . Burnes went from an 8.82 ERA in a miserable 2019 season to a 2.11 ERA in a brilliant ’20 in which he challenged for the NL ERA title and finished sixth in the NL Cy Young Award balloting, emerging as one of the league’s nastiest starters. That’s reliever-esque dominance with his fastball, and only trails Gerrit Cole in terms of swinging-strike percentage, while besting Justin Verlander and Lance Lynn. For the first time (according to Brooks Baseball), Pineda’s slider averaged a negative value in 2019. It doesn’t make sense, his actual fastball velocity and perceived fastball velocity are both essentially the same as 2018. Full Minnesota Twins roster for the 2021 season including position, height, weight, birthdate, years of experience, and college. ), but they don’t know what we know. Jake Odorizzi: Rizzi. My best guess is that it’s an interaction between his fastball and slider, which I’ll get to…now. He was a little misfortunate with his fastball in 2019, with a .419 wOBAcon and .386 xwOBAcon. Burr-e-ohs. Yahoo! People are rather divided about Thorpe, but he’s got a really good slider, and his curveball and changeup are supposed to be solid as well. It was Ian Thorpe’s nickname and I dig it. Maeda’s fastball used to get more swinging strikes, which is perhaps not surprising since he has featured fewer pitches at the top of the zone, and more to his glove-side and off the plate. Joe Nathan (2004-11) Drafted as a shortstop and groomed as a starting pitcher for the San Francisco Giants, Nathan struggled to find his place in the majors until the Twins stole him, along with pitchers Francisco Liriano and Boof Bonser, for catcher A.J. How could it not be? The login page will open in a new tab. He put up monster numbers in the minor leagues, but his were based less on contact management, as Dobnak’s were. Boswell … Pineda’s changeup also saw an increase in swinging-strike percentage, which I suppose helps substantiate my theory. The Twins have had an inarguably good offseason, with much of that good stemming from landing perennial MVP candidate Josh Donaldson to man the hot corner for the next half decade. He dealt with some back luck with his slider — its .380 wOBAcon far exceeded his .338 xwOBAcon. In 2019, Chacin gave up 17 home runs on his fastballs. I’ll admit that something I did know about Jhoulys Chacin before today is that he has accumulated an absolutely insane pVAL on his slider. After all, Chacin will do well when Jhoulyst expects it. You can access every article as it comes out in our Player Profiles 2020 hub here. (Except, well, by average run expectancy.). As I see it, that’s because he threw it out of the zone much more in 2018. That starts with starting pitching. His pVAL dropped from 21.1 in 2017 and 25.9 in 2018 to 7.9 in 2019. That’s due in part to his 20.8% CSW, which is one of the lower splitter CSWs for starters. In 2021, he’ll finally open the year as part of the rotation following two consistent seasons, good for a 4.01 ERA in ’19 and a 3.38 ERA in ’20. Copyright © 2021 Pitcher GIFS Inc. All Rights Reserved. The end result is a pitch with a 41.3% O-Swing rate, 34.0% zone rate, and 20.1% swinging-strike rate. Homer Bailey: Homer Bale. But that doesn’t explain what happened to his fastballs. He’s posted a 3.80 ERA over the past three seasons, along with a 1.20 WHIP and 23.8 K%, but apparently steady isn’t good enough. Twins finalize $2M deal with starting pitcher Matt Shoemaker February 19, 2021 MINNEAPOLIS (AP) — The Minnesota Twins and right-hander Matt Shoemaker finalized a one-year, $2 million contract on Friday, another experienced addition to the rotation on the first day of workouts for pitchers and catchers at spring training. Chacin had an awful 2019, with a 6.01 ERA, 1.56 WHIP, and 21.5 K%. Homer Bailey posted his highest K% since 2013 by throwing his four-seam fastball and splitter more, and his sinker less — fantastic ideas! They did this even though Ervin Santana, Kyle Gibson and Jose Berrios combined for 85 starts and 515 innings. Nick’s reluctant Kenta Maeda 2020 projection: 3.80 ERA, 1.18 WHIP, 27% K rate in 165 IP. Twins sign pitcher Randy Dobnak to extension through 2025 Dobnak and the Twins have inked a five-year, $9.5 million contract extension, with options that … Twins pitchers and catchers hit the field with 13 absences There are visa, weather and COVID-19 protocol issues as the team starts to gather in Fort Myers. Minnesota Twins starting pitcher Randy Dobnak (68) delivers a pitch during the first inning Friday, Sept. 20, against the Kansas City Royals at Target Field. But the Twins did what good teams do, and that's adding starting-pitching depth ad infinitum. But that was only part of the issue: his swinging-strike rate fell from 13.0% to 10.8%. Relative to the league average .365 wOBAcon, Maeda’s .328 wOBAcon and .316 xwOBAcon are incredibly manageable — he has sustained a .257 BABIP since 2015 too. Let’s be honest, the Minnesota Twins need some help if they are going to win the World Series this year. For whatever reason, Pineda posted a 9.2% swinging-strike percentage — his best since 2011. You can follow Michael on Twitter @dysthymikey, or you can not. HE’S A MAN OF SURPRISES. By CSW, it’s a pretty good pitch, as its 33.6% CSW ties Sonny Gray and Adam Wainwright, and ranks in the 68th percentile. His 75 ERA-, 73 FIP-, and 95 xFIP, and 27.1 K% are all easily career-bests. (Okay, I know he falls short in O-Swing rate…but he probably didn’t before his awful 2019!) Minnesota Twins starting pitcher Kenta Maeda (18) throws the ball during spring training baseball practice on Wednesday, Feb. 24, 2021, in Fort Myers, Fla. (AP) By Jeff Sanders I should note that his 29.4% CSW in 2019 is the highest it’s been since 2016. I’m down with O.P.P, as well as a 3.80 ERA, 1.15 WHIP, and 24 K%. His offspeed offering gets misclassified between a changeup and splitter, but it’s a pitch that he barely throws and doesn’t do much for him. Aside from an otherwise pitiful repertoire, Chacin’s slider has been amazing regardless. It could return even better results in the future, too, since his .342 xwOBAcon is a fair amount higher than his .316 xwOBAcon. Michael writes about the Mariners at Lookout Landing, while doing other analysis here at Pitcher List. The Tigers signed Ureña to provide veteran stability to the rotation, but also because they saw upside in his game. He ranks in the 23th and 40th percentiles in fastball velocity and spin, respectively. He can do it again. He looks like Christian Bale. Cue Charles Bradley, because Jake Odorizzi is going through changes. He’s currently slotted as their third starter, and with the team pushing for another AL Central and money earned in the deal for Maeda, the 4.14 ERA, 1.11 WHIP, and 26.2 K% he posted as a starter for the Dodgers in 2019 may take a step forward across a legit season in the Twins rotation. There was a point in time when Homer Bailey had a good slider. Funny how two added ticks to your fastball can make it better, huh? Maeda’s 22.9% CSW is much lower than his 26.6% from 2018. His minor league numbers are great, but they’re also reliant on contact management. The Twins have used 26 different Opening Day starting pitchers in their 51 seasons in Minnesota. His 41.8% O-Swing, 44.4% zone rate, and 21.8% swinging-strike percentage is backed up with a 31.3% CSW as a starter in 2019. On Wednesday, the Pirates placed righthander Nick Burdi, once a highly regarded Twins prospect. Maeda struggled with his mechanics and couldn't command his slider effectively for much of his Opening Day start against Milwaukee, but he still fanned five and held the Brewers to one earned run over 4 1/3 innings. I wonder if he would be any good in the bullpen…, Realistic worst-case projection: 5.00+ ERA, 1.50+ WHIP, 18% K rate in 80 IP, Realistic best-case projection: 3.90 ERA, 1.30 WHIP, 22% K rate in 180 IP. Nick’s reluctant Jake Odorizzi 2020 projection: 3.90 ERA, 1.25 WHIP, 24% K rate in 160 IP. This is why his slider pVAL is 19.1 — he can miss bats, but he can also induce weak contact and get hitters out that way too. 2021 2020 Yearbook Fan Face Twins Kids Activities Lunch and Learn Series Baby Blue Alternate Uniforms Twins Fan Pack Wallpapers... Avoids the pen all year elevating it career averages slider/cutter CSW in the 43rd percentile curveball. 26, is projected to begin the season in the 46th percentile with a 24.1 % CSW Berrios. 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